Wednesday, May 12, 2010

You Gotta BELIEVE!!!!

Same as being vague, generalizations sometimes are a pet peeve to me. It's usually the fact that you are not being clear on what you are trying to explain. The book Critical Thinking by Carolyn Kernberger has a chapter on generalizations. The section of the chapter that caught my eye was Section 4. The Margin of error and Confidence Level. Off the bat, the first sentence explains how "It's never reasonable to believe exact statistical generalizations." It also gives an example on how town survey's are made, such that if a survey says 37% of the people in the town surveyed yes to wearing glasses, you can't be sure or confident enough that exactly 37% of the town wears glasses. There are some people that are asked to volunteer for survey's but some people, like me, just don't talk and walk away to them. So you can't be sure or correct among a survey like that. There could be a margin of error that we don't know of. This is important to understand because you should not ALWAYS believe what anyone tells you.

This is me being cocky and enjoying my car lol.

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